Projects
Cold air outbreaks are typical of the mid-latitude climate during the cold season. Their relevance relies on the threat to life caused by the long-lasting periods with abnormally low temperatures, the potential of damage to crops, and the occurrence of high-impact weather events such as heavy snow and low visibility during blizzards.
Previous studies...
This proposal shapes the next (third) phase of the ESiWACE Centre of Excellence. As the ability to run Earth system models at ~1km resolution efficiently on EuroHPC supercomputers has already been established in previous phases for specific model configurations, and as developments are now picked up by science-driven projects, this proposal will focus on the support of the...
ASPECT aims to setup and demonstrate a seamless climate information (SCI) system with a time horizon up to 30yr and accompanied with underlying research and using climate information for sectoral applications ( middle-ground level 1). The project's goal is to improve existing climate prediction systems and to merge their outputs across timescales together with climate...
Precipitation directly affects societies and ecosystems, with extremely wet and dry conditions posing potential risks. Our ability to predict variations in precipitation on seasonal, inter-annual and decadal time scales is limited, and state-of-the-art prediction systems exhibit low skill in predicting precipitation despite substantial developments and improvements of the...
Compound events (CEs) can pose significant threats to societies, economies and ecosystems around the world, especially when amplified by anthropogenic climate change (ACC). There is therefore a strong need for skilled, reliable and actionable predictions of how CEs are expected to change in the next decades to help governments and stakeholders implement robust adaptation...
Our changing climate is already affecting millions of people across the world and will continue to do so in the coming decades. Successful adaptation strategies require the best available estimate of plausible future climate trajectories. Traditionally, this information has been mostly based on results from climate model projections that follow different future socio-economic...
Seasonal Forecasts are critical tools for early-warning decision support systems, that can help reduce the related risk associated with hot or cold weather and other events that can strongly affect a multitude of socio-economic sectors. Recent advances in both statistical approaches and numerical modeling have improved the skill of Seasonal Forecasts. However, especially in...
There is a clear and urgent need to deepen our understanding on the occurrence and the cascading effects of droughts. This project considers seasonal climate predictions in the Iberian peninsula (Spain and Portugal) that are projected to move towards a drier climate (Vicente-Serrano et al. 2014, Donelly et al. 2017). Using the Iberian peninsula as a case study provides an...
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has a critical role to ensure that the service meets the needs of a range of users for high-quality data and information on near- to medium- to long-term climate change. The ITT that this proposal addresses asks for recommendations on robust definition and adoption of methods for post-processing of forecast data and case studies to...
Sustainable management of human activities affecting Atlantic marine ecosystems is critical to maintain its health and tosupport the blue economy of the bordering countries. TRIATLAS will contribute to this by delivering knowledge of the current state and future changes of the Atlantic marine ecosystems. We achieve this through a basin-wide approach that integratesresearch...