Paolo De Luca

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All my research interests orbit around weather and climate extremes (WCE). At the moment, with a MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowship, I am investigating decadal to multi-decadal constrained climate projections of global compound events. I also apply methods used for Earth’s studies to investigate exoplanet atmospheres, in order to detect conditions where life could emerge or be already present.
My research lines can be summarised as follows:
- univariate and compound global WCE in observations, reanalyses and climate models;
- decadal to multi-decadal prediction of WCE;
- physical drivers and dynamics of WCE;
- mean climate and WCE in exoplanets and their comparison to Earth’s.


2016-2019 NERC PhD Loughborugh University (UK)
2013-2015 MSc Polytechnic University of Marche (IT)
2015 ERASMUS+ Trainee Hamburg University - Meteorological Institute (DE)
2011-2013 BSc University of Perugia (IT)
2012-2013 Trainee National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology INGV (IT)


2022-present MSCA Postdoctoral Fellow @Barcelona Supercomputing Center (ES)
2021-2022 Researcher @Barcelona Supercomputing Center (ES)
2019-2021 Postdoc @VU Amsterdam (NL)
Research visits
2024 (forthcoming, 3 months) Freie Universität Berlin – Institute of Meteorology (DE)
July-August 2023 (forthcoming, 2 months) University of Bergen – Geophysical Institute (NO)
June 2023 (forthcoming, 1 month) Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (DE)
18-26/03/2023 The Hebrew University of Jerusalem – Institute of Earth Sciences (IL)
2018-2020 (~6 months) Uppsala University – Department of Earth Sciences (SE)
Peer-reviewed publications

#15 Materia, S., Cavicchia, L., De Luca, P., Donat, M.G., Kretschmer, M., Coumou, D., Palma-Garcia, L., O, S., and van Straaten, C., Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change (in prep)

#14 De Luca, P., Delgado-Torres, C., Mahmood, R., and Donat, M.G. Environ. Res. Lett. (in prep)

#13 Hochman, A., Komacek, T.D., and De Luca, P.  Probable universal response of Earth’s and exoplanets’ climate dynamics to greenhouse gas supplement, Nat. Comm. (submitted)

#12 De Luca, P., and Donat, M.G. Global warming increases hot, dry and compound hot-dry extremes over global land regions, Geophys. Res. Lett. (under review)

#11 Donat, M.G., Delgado-Torres, C., De Luca, P., Mahmood, R., Ortega, P., and Doblas-Reyes, F.J. How credibly do CMIP6 simulations capture historical mean and extreme precipitation changes?, Geophys. Res. Lett. (under review)

#10 Hochman, A., De Luca, P., and Komacek, T.D. (2022) Greater climate sensitivity and variability on TRAPPIST-1e than Earth, Astrophys. J., 938(2), 114,
#9 Pastori, M., Margheriti, L., De Gori, P., Govoni, A., Lucente, F.P., Moretti, M., Marchetti, A., Di Giovambattista, R., Anselmi, M., De Luca, P., Nardi, A., Piana Agostinetti, N., Latorre, D., Piccinini, D., Passarelli, L., and Chiarabba, C. (2021) The 2011-2014 Pollino seismic swarm: complex fault systems imaged by 1D refined location and shear wave splitting analysis at the Apennines- Calabrian arc boundary Front. Earth Sci., 9, 90,
#8 Messori, G., Bevacqua, E., Caballero, R., Coumou, D., De Luca, P., Faranda, D., Kornhuber, K., Martius, O., Pons, F.M.E., Raymond, C., Ye, K., Yiou, P., and Zscheischler, J. (2021) Compound climate events and extremes in the mid-latitudes: dynamics, simulation and statistical characterisation Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 102(4), E774–E781,
#7 De Luca, P., Messori, G., Faranda, D., Ward, P.J., and Coumou, D. (2020) Compound warm-dry and cold-wet events over the Mediterranean Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 793–805,
#6 Thandlam, V., Udaya Bhaskar, T.V.S., Hasibur, R., De Luca, P., Sahlée, E., Rutgersson, A., Ravichandran, M., and Ramakrishna, S.S.V.S. (2020) A sea-level monopole in the equatorial Indian Ocean NPJ Clim. Atmos. Sci., 3, 25,
#5 De Luca, P., Messori, G., Wilby, R.L., Mazzoleni, M., and Di Baldassarre, G. (2020) Concurrent wet and dry hydrological extremes at the global scale Earth Syst. Dyn., 11, 251–266,
#4 De Luca, P., Messori, G., Pons, F.M.E., and Faranda, D. (2020) Dynamical systems theory sheds new light on compound climate extremes in Europe and Eastern North America Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 146: 1636– 1650,
#3 De Luca, P., Harpham, C., Wilby, R.L., Hillier, J.K., Franzke, C.L.E., and Leckebusch, G.C. (2019) Past and projected weather pattern persistence with associated multi-hazards in the British Isles Atmosphere, 10(10):577,
#2 De Luca, P., Hillier, J.K., Wilby, R.L., Quinn, N.W., and Harrigan, S. (2017) Extreme multi-basin flooding linked with extra-tropical cyclones Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 114009,
#1 Wilby, R.L., Clifford, N.J., De Luca, P., Harrigan, S., Hillier, J.K., Hodgkins, R., Johnson, M.F., Matthews, T.K.R., Murphy, C., Noone, S.J., Parry, S., Prudhomme, C., Rice, S.P., Slater, L.J., Smith, K.A., and Wood, P.J. (2017) The “dirty dozen” of freshwater science: detecting then reconciling hydrological data biases and errors WIREs Water, 4: e1209,