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2023

Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyreData_Sheet_1.pdf

Frontiers in Climate

I. Polkova, D. Swingedouw, L. Hermanson, A. Köhl, D. Stammer, D. Smith, J. Kröger, I. Bethke, X. Yang, L. Zhang, D. Nicolí, P. J. Athanasiadis, M. Pasha Karami, K. Pankatz, H. Pohlmann, B. Wu, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, S. Yang, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, W. Merryfield, T. Kataoka, H. Tatebe, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, and R. J. Matear
Large spread in interannual variance of atmospheric CO2 concentration across CMIP6 Earth System ModelsAbstract

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

V. Martín-Gómez, Y. Ruprich-Robert, E. Tourigny, R. Bernardello, P. Ortega, M. G. Donat, and M. Samsó Cabré
How Credibly Do CMIP6 Simulations Capture Historical Mean and Extreme Precipitation Changes?AbstractPlain Language SummaryKey Points

Geophysical Research Letters

M. G. Donat, C. Delgado‐Torres, P. De Luca, R. Mahmood, P. Ortega, and F. J. Doblas‐Reyes

2022

PARASO, a circum-Antarctic fully coupled ice-sheet–ocean–sea-ice–atmosphere–land model involving f.ETISh1.7, NEMO3.6, LIM3.6, COSMO5.0 and CLM4.5

Geoscientific Model Development

C. Pelletier, T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, K. Haubner, S. Helsen, P-V. Huot, C. Kittel, F. Klein, S. Le clec'h, N. P. M. van Lipzig, S. Marchi, F. Massonnet, P. Mathiot, E. Moravveji, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, F. Pattyn, N. Souverijns, G. van Achter, S. Vanden Broucke, A. Vanhulle, D. Verfaillie, and L. Zipf
Improving Arctic Weather and Seasonal Climate Prediction: Recommendations for Future Forecast Systems Evolution from the European Project APPLICATEAbstract

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

P. Ortega, E. W. Blockley, M. Køltzow, F. Massonnet, I. Sandu, G. Svensson, J. C. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, L. Batté, E. Bazile, M. Chevallier, R. Cruz-García, J. J. Day, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, M. Gupta, K. Hartung, E. Hawkins, C. Hinrichs, L. Magnusson, E. Moreno-Chamarro, S. Pérez-Montero, L. Ponsoni, T. Semmler, D. Smith, J. Sterlin, M. Tjernström, I. Välisuo, and T. Jung
Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstructionAbstract

Nature Communications

S. L. L. Michel, D. Swingedouw, P. Ortega, G. Gastineau, J. Mignot, G. McCarthy, and M. Khodri
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal timescales – a poor man's initialized prediction system

Earth System Dynamics

R. Mahmood, M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Samsó, and P-A. Bretonnière
The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6

Geoscientific Model Development

R. Döscher, M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, T. Arsouze, T. Bergman, R. Bernardello, S. Boussetta, L-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarría, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, P. M. Karami, J-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P. A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O'Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós, and Q. Zhang
Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: an analysis with the EC-Earth3 modelAbstract

Climate Dynamics

T. Carmo-Costa, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado, and E. Dutra
Atlantic circulation change still uncertain

Nature Geoscience

H. K. Kilbourne, A. D. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. J. Reynolds, D. E. Amrhein, P. G. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. F. Jansen, C. M. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse, and N. M. Whitney

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