Legend

Skill

High Low

Predicted change

Increase Decrease

Installed Wind Power (MW)

High Low

Data

Prediction Start Date; Prediction Season

Variable

Observations

? This chart displays the 10-m wind speed observations in the selected geographic region over the last 30 years. The third of years with the highest wind speeds (upper tercile) is marked in yellow, the third with the lowest ones (lower tercile) in blue.
Seasonal average wind speeds in m/s
Median
4.3 The median wind speed observed in the past.

Predictions

? This chart shows the calibrated ECMWF S4 prediction for the next season. Overall, 51 different simulations were run, resulting in a range of potential outcomes. We can best understand these in terms of the teciles resulting from past observations: How many of the simulations result in relatively high wind strengths, how many in lower?
0.0%
upper
* This category of wind speeds is the most probable, according to our predictions.
0.0%
mid
* This category of wind speeds is the most probable, according to our predictions.
0.0%
lower
* This category of wind speeds is the most probable, according to our predictions.

Skill

? The skill score is a statistical measure of how well the prediction system have performed in the past, in the selected region, and it can guide about the expected performance of the forecasts in the future. A score of 100% would mean that the prediction system performance is perfect. A score of 0% means our models were not better than just making a guess based on historic data, without any extra information from climate simulations.

Installed Wind Power

? This chart shows the currently installed wind power in the selected region, which reflects the production capacity in that particular area. (This data was generously provided by windpower.net)
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